• Elections 17.09.2018 No Comments

    The Election Tax Divide

    The GOP wants to make tax cuts permanent. Democrats want repeal.

    The Election Tax Divide
    PHOTO: DANIEL ACKER/BLOOMBERG NEWS

    With Democrats focusing every campaign moment on Donald Trump, the policy stakes in November are fuzzy to many voters. House Republicans tried to clarify at least one major difference between the parties last week by proposing a second round of tax reduction.

    The core of reform 2.0 is making last year’s tax-rate cuts for individuals and families permanent. Congress made the corporate cuts permanent to provide investment certainty, but its weird deficit scoring rules forced the expiration of individual changes at the end of 2025. Read more …

  • How Republicans Could Still Win

    A forthcoming poll suggests ways they can persuade voters in swing districts.

    By Kimberley A. Strassel

    Sept. 13, 2018 6:58 p.m. ET

    Primary election voters at a polling station inside Boston City Hall, Sept. 4. PHOTO: CJ GUNTHER/EPA-EFE/REX/SHUTTERST/EPA/SHUTTERSTOCK

     

    This was a week of gloomy midterm polls for the Republican Party, with a wave of results projecting a Democratic takeover of the House and maybe even the Senate. But not all polls are created equal. If Republicans bother to read just one, it should be a yet-unreleased survey that tells a more nuanced story.

    The data come courtesy of the Club for Growth, a conservative outfit that plays to win. The club’s donors expect it to place smart bets in elections, which it can’t do if it relies on feel-good data. It uses WPAi, the data firm that in 2016 found Wisconsin Sen. Ron Johnson really did have a shot at re-election, then crafted the messages that got him the money and votes for victory.

    WPAi just handed the club in-depth polling of the people who matter most this midterm—1,000 likely voters in 41 competitive House districts. The results are quietly making their way to Republican leaders, and the club agreed to give me an advance look. Bottom line: Many of these races are winnable—if Republicans have the courage of their convictions and get smarter in tailoring their messages to voters.

    On the surface, the results mirror other recent polls. President Trump has a net-negative approval rating across these districts, with his unfavorable ratings notably high among women (57%), independents (58%) and suburban voters (52%). Those who answered prefer a Democratic Congress that will check Mr. Trump (48%) to electing Republicans who will pass his agenda more quickly (42%). The biggest alarm bell is the 12-point enthusiasm gap—with 72% of Democrats “very interested” in this election, compared with 60% of Republicans. In suburbia, the 12-point gap widens to 24.

    Yet this thundercloud has silver linings. One is that Republicans still hold a 3-point lead on the generic ballot in these districts, meaning they have a real chance if they get their likely voters out. An even bigger opening: Approximately 25% of those polled remain “persuadable” to vote Republican—if they hear the right things. Read more …

  • Little-known flood-control district asks Denver metro voters for first tax hike

    Urban Drainage and Flood Control District proposes tax-restoration measure on Nov. 6 ballot

    Andy Cross, The Denver Post

    Greenway Foundation educator Kate Ronan, right, checks Annalena Tylicki’s net for bugs and other living creatures she collected in the South Platte River during a SPREE day camp at the restored Johnson-Habitat Park on June 9, 2015. The restoration, which included improvements to reduce flood risk, was paid for partly by the Urban Drainage and Flood Control District.

    By JON MURRAY | jmurray@denverpost.com | The Denver Post

    September 13, 2018 at 6:00 am

     

    In an election season full of proposed tax hikes, one of the less familiar ballot measures facing voters across the Denver metro area this fall comes from a regional district that aids dozens of cities and counties in flood control.

    The little-known Urban Drainage and Flood Control District hasn’t asked for an increase in its property tax since its formation nearly five decades ago. That means it has actually lost ground, with its tax rate falling by 44 percent since the early 1990s under revenue growth limits in the voter-passed Taxpayer’s Bill of Rights.

    On the Nov. 6 ballot, the district’s Ballot Issue 7G asks voters across its jurisdiction for permission to restore its full taxing authority, as many cities, counties and other special districts have done. The district covers 1,600 square miles across Denver and all or part of Boulder, Broomfield, Jefferson, Adams, Arapahoe and Douglas counties.

    Next year, a partial increase is expected to generate $14.9 million. Further increases within the restored limit would be left up to the district’s board, made up of elected officials from around the region, the UDFCD says.

    Once that happens, the full tax increase would raise an estimated $24 million a year, doubling the current funding level for projects and programs. The hit for the owner of a $400,000 home would be an extra $13 a year.

    The flood-control district faces no organized opposition to its proposed tax increase, but it does face a big challenge: Most voters don’t know what the district is or what it does.

    To read the rest of this Denver Post story, click (HERE):

     

  • Google bosses upset over Trump election victory, leaked video shows

    Not long after Donald Trump won the general election in 2016, the executives of Google held a company meeting in which they expressed their disappointment at the result, newly released video has revealed.

    The recording, which was provided anonymously to and reported by Breitbart News, was made by the tech giant and showed several of the company’s leaders.

    At the top of the video, co-founder Sergey Brin said that he’s aware “this is probably not the most joyous TGIF we have had.”

    “You know, let’s face it, most people here are pretty upset and pretty sad for … because of the election,” Brin said. “Myself, as an immigrant and a refugee, I certainly find this election deeply offensive and I know many of you do, too. And I think it’s a very stressful time and it conflicts with many of our values.”

    The video also showed that a vice president, Kent Walker, described the outcome of the election as “a shock to all of us.”

    Read more …

  • Daniel F. Baranowski @DFBHarvard
     
    Obama did us an immense favor yesterday.
    He reminded us of the seductive lure of a smooth-talking conman peddling a malignant form of socialism mixed with extra helpings of guilt over being exceptionally American.
    All while calling us bigots.
     
    No Thanks!
    Been There,
    Done That!
  • Tea-Party Turnabout

    The Democrats find themselves facing the same threat as did the Republicans in 2010.

    Amy McGrath, a Kentucky Democratic candidate for Congress, speaks in Louisville, Aug. 18.
    Amy McGrath, a Kentucky Democratic candidate for Congress, speaks in Louisville, Aug. 18. PHOTO: TIMOTHY D. EASLEY/ASSOCIATED PRESS
    Christmas Eve 2009. For six long weeks Republicans had fought a losing battle to stop ObamaCare. The Senate GOP leadership finally succumbed to the inevitable, allowing the bill to pass. The tea party—new, angry, undisciplined—slammed Republicans as sellouts. It would spend the next few years on a purity drive, nominating unelectable Delaware non-witches and demanding Republicans engage in grand if futile efforts.
     
    More than a few political commentators are watching Judge Brett Kavanaugh’s Supreme Court nomination hearings and wondering just what stealthy strategy is driving the Democratic circus. Hint: What’s driving the party isn’t strategy at all. It’s a lobby. And one we’ve seen before.
     
    Tea party. Resistance. Call it what you will. The 2008 election of Barack Obama stoked a conservative fury against a directionless GOP. The tea-party movement in time would become more organized and strategic, and from the start it played an important role in conservative politics. But even its founders privately concede that its initial focus on intraparty cleansing and the “fight” did harm.

    Read more …

  • Among the Trump Doubters

    They like his policies but a persona giving off nonstop static may keep them home

    By Daniel Henninger

    Sept. 5, 2018 7:09 p.m. ET

    President Donald Trump speaks on the telephone via speakerphone with Mexican President Enrique Pena Nieto in the Oval Office, Aug. 27.PHOTO: WIN MCNAMEE/GETTY IMAGES

    Back when Donald Trump was defeating 12 or so Republicans for the 2016 presidential nomination, no matter what he said or what anyone wrote about him, his support among early primary voters usually hovered somewhere in the 30s. You could set your watch by a Trump critical mass of one-third voting for him.

    This third, then and now, is the eternal Trump base. Look at presidential approval polls, and there they are. In the most recent Wall Street Journal/NBC poll, Mr. Trump’s “strong” approvers were 31%.

    These are the Trump believers. But during two weeks away from politics, I kept finding myself among the Trump doubters. To be sure, most of them were in Europe, the fountainhead of doubt. They would demand of their visitor: “Explain Trump.” Read more …

  • A Texas lawsuit being heard this week could mean life or death for Obamacare

    Alex Brandon/AP, FILE

    Wednesday is looking like yet another pivotal day in the life-or-death saga that has marked the history of the Affordable Care Act.

    In a Texas courtroom, a group of Republican attorneys general, led by Texas’ Ken Paxton, are set to face off against a group of Democratic attorneys general, led by California’s Xavier Becerra, in a lawsuit aimed at striking down the federal health law. The Republicans say that when Congress eliminated the penalty for not having health insurance as part of last year’s tax bill, lawmakers rendered the entire health law unconstitutional. The Democrats argue that’s not the case.

    But first, the sides will argue before U.S. District Judge Reed O’Connor in Fort Worth, Texas, whether the health law should be put on hold while the case is litigated. The GOP plaintiffs are seeking a “preliminary injunction” on the law.

    Ending the health law, even temporarily, “would wreak havoc in our health care system,” said Becerra in a call with reporters last week. “And we don’t believe Americans are ready to see that their children are no longer able to see a doctor or that they cannot get treated for a preexisting health condition.”

    Here are five questions and answers to help understand the case, Texas v. U.S.

    Read more …

US National Debt Clock

By Eric

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